Evolution of disease course and prognostic determinants in multiple system atrophy: A comprehensive interpretation from prodromal to advanced stages

Yixin KANG, Bo WANG, Wei LUO

Journal of Neurology and Neurorehabilitation ›› 2026, Vol. 22 ›› Issue (2) : 90-103.

PDF(1331 KB)
PDF(1331 KB)
Journal of Neurology and Neurorehabilitation ›› 2026, Vol. 22 ›› Issue (2) : 90-103. DOI: 10.12022/jnnr.2025-0330
Neurology

Evolution of disease course and prognostic determinants in multiple system atrophy: A comprehensive interpretation from prodromal to advanced stages

Author information +
History +

Abstract

Multiple system atrophy (MSA) is a rare neurodegenerative disorder with very low incidence and prevalence worldwide. Clinically, it presents as a heterogeneous combination of autonomic failure, Parkinsonism and cerebellar ataxia. This review synthesizes current evidence on the epidemiology, subtype distribution, natural history and prognostic modifiers of MSA, with particular emphasis on the prodromal phase (e.g., rapid eye movement sleep behavior disorder and pure autonomic failure), hallmark clinical milestones after diagnosis (e.g., recurrent falls, wheelchair dependence, dysphagia, and inspiratory stridor), and key determinants of disease progression (including age at onset, severity of autonomic involvement, motor subtype and levodopa responsiveness). The clinical features and prognostic contrasts between young-onset and late-onset MSA are examined, and the future priorities focusing on biomarker development, early diagnosis and prodromal detection, and optimization of multidisciplinary care strategies are highlighted, aiming to inform clinical practice and interventional research.

Key words

Multiple system atrophy / Natural history / Prognostic factors / Clinical milestones / Biomarkers

Cite this article

Download Citations
Yixin KANG, Bo WANG, Wei LUO. Evolution of disease course and prognostic determinants in multiple system atrophy: A comprehensive interpretation from prodromal to advanced stages[J]. Journal of Neurology and Neurorehabilitation. 2026, 22(2): 90-103 https://doi.org/10.12022/jnnr.2025-0330

References

[1] POEWE W, STANKOVIC I, HALLIDAY G, et al. Multiple system atrophy[J/OL]. Nat Rev Dis Primers, 2022, 8(1):56[2025-12-02]. .
[2] GLASMACHER S A, LEIGH P N, SAHA R A. Predictors of survival in progressive supranuclear palsy and multiple system atrophy: A systematic review and meta-analysis[J]. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry, 2017, 88(5):402-411.
[3] NDAYISABA A, HALLIDAY G M, KHURANA V. Multiple system atrophy: Pathology, pathogenesis, and path forward[J]. Annu Rev Pathol, 2025, 20(1):245-273.
[4] LI Y, LV Z, DAI Y, et al. The global, regional, and National burden of Parkinson's disease in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2021: A systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2021[J/OL]. BMC Public Health, 2025, 25(1):3047[2025-12-02]. .
[5] BJORNSDOTTIR A, GUDMUNDSSON G, BLONDAL H, et al. Incidence and prevalence of multiple system atrophy: A nationwide study in Iceland[J]. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry, 2013, 84(2):136-140.
[6] BOWER J H, MARAGANORE D M, MCDONNELL S K, et al. Incidence of progressive supranuclear palsy and multiple system atrophy in Olmsted County, Minnesota, 1976 to 1990[J]. Neurology, 1997, 49(5):1284-1288.
[7] CIOLLI L, KRISMER F, NICOLETTI F, et al. An update on the cerebellar subtype of multiple system atrophy[J/OL]. Cerebellum Ataxias, 2014, 1:14[2025-12-02]. .
[8] CHRYSOSTOME V, TISON F, YEKHLEF F, et al. Epidemiology of multiple system atrophy: A prevalence and pilot risk factor study in Aquitaine, France[J]. Neuroepidemiology, 2004, 23(4):201-208.
[9] SCHRAG A, BEN-SHLOMO Y, QUINN N P. Prevalence of progressive supranuclear palsy and multiple system atrophy: A cross-sectional study[J]. Lancet, 1999, 354(9192):1771-1775.
[10] KAPLAN S, XIE H, WANG J. Estimating the prevalence and incidence of multiple system atrophy in the USA: Insights from a national claims database[J/OL]. Parkinsonism Relat Disord, 2023, 117:105920[2025-12-02]. .
[11] GATTO E, RODRíGUEZ-VIOLANTE M, COSENTINO C, et al. Pan-American Consortium of Multiple System Atrophy (PANMSA). A Pan-American multicentre cohort study of multiple system atrophy[J]. J Parkinsons Dis, 2014, 4(4):693-698.
[12] FOUBERT-SAMIER A, PAVY-LE TRAON A, GUILLET F, et al. Disease progression and prognostic factors in multiple system atrophy: A prospective cohort study[J/OL]. Neurobiol Dis, 2020, 139:104813[2025-12-02]. .
[13] O'SULLIVAN S S, MASSEY L A, WILLIAMS D R, et al. Clinical outcomes of progressive supranuclear palsy and multiple system atrophy[J]. Brain, 2008, 131(Pt 5):1362-1372.
[14] WENNING G K, GESER F, KRISMER F, et al. The natural history of multiple system atrophy: A prospective European cohort study[J]. Lancet Neurol, 2013, 12(3):264-274.
[15] LOW P A, REICH S G, JANKOVIC J, et al. Natural history of multiple system atrophy in the USA: A prospective cohort study[J]. Lancet Neurol, 2015, 14(7):710-719.
[16] GOH Y Y, SAUNDERS E, PAVEY S, et al. Multiple system atrophy[J]. Pract Neurol, 2023, 23(3):208-221.
[17] WATANABE H, SAITO Y, TERAO S, et al. Progression and prognosis in multiple system atrophy: An analysis of 230 Japanese patients[J]. Brain, 2002, 125(Pt 5):1070-1083.
[18] KIM H J, JEON B S, LEE J Y, et al. Survival of Korean patients with multiple system atrophy[J]. Mov Disord, 2011, 26(5):909-912.
[19] PORTO K J, HIRANO M, MITSUI J, et al. COQ2 V393A confers high risk susceptibility for multiple system atrophy in East Asian population[J/OL]. J Neurol Sci, 2021,429:117623[2025-12-02]. .
[20] ZHAO Q, YANG X, TIAN S, et al. Association of the COQ2 V393A variant with risk of multiple system atrophy in East Asians: A case-control study and meta-analysis of the literature[J]. Neurol Sci, 2016, 37(3):423-430.
[21] BETTENCOURT C, FOTI S C, MIKI Y, et al. White matter DNA methylation profiling reveals deregulation of HIP1, LMAN2, MOBP, and other loci in multiple system atrophy[J]. Acta Neuropathol, 2020, 139(1):135-156.
[22] RYDBIRK R, FOLKE J, BUSATO F, et al. Epigenetic modulation of AREL1 and increased HLA expression in brains of multiple system atrophy patients[J/OL]. Acta Neuropathol Commun, 2020, 8(1):29[2025-12-02]. .
[23] PéREZ-SORIANO A, ARNAL SEGURA M, BOTTA-ORFILA T, et al. Transcriptomic differences in MSA clinical variants[J/OL]. Sci Rep, 2020, 10:10310[2025-12-02]. .
[24] SCHRAG A, BOHLKEN J, KOSTEV K. Pre-diagnostic presentations of Multiple System Atrophy case control study in a primary care dataset[J]. Parkinsonism Relat Disord, 2022, 99:101-104.
[25] WENNING G K, STANKOVIC I, VIGNATELLI L, et al. The movement disorder society criteria for the diagnosis of multiple system atrophy[J]. Mov Disord, 2022, 37(6):1131-1148.
[26] GIANNINI G, PROVINI F, CORTELLI P, et al. REM sleep behaviour disorder in multiple system atrophy: From prodromal to progression of disease[J/OL]. Front Neurol, 2021, 12:677213[2025-12-02]. .
[27] POSTUMA R B, IRANZO A, HU M, et al. Risk and predictors of dementia and Parkinsonism in idiopathic REM sleep behaviour disorder: A multicentre study[J]. Brain, 2019, 142(3):744-759.
[28] WING Y K, LI S X, MOK V, et al. Prospective outcome of rapid eye movement sleep behaviour disorder: Psychiatric disorders as a potential early marker of Parkinson's disease[J]. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry, 2012, 83(4):470-472.
[29] POSTUMA R B, IRANZO A, HOGL B, et al. Risk factors for neurodegeneration in idiopathic rapid eye movement sleep behavior disorder: A multicenter study[J]. Ann Neurol, 2015, 77(5):830-839.
[30] LI Y, KANG W, YANG Q, et al. Predictive markers for early conversion of iRBD to neurodegenerative synucleinopathy diseases[J]. Neurology, 2017, 88(16):1493-1500.
[31] FANTINI M L, FARINI E, ORTELLI P, et al. Longitudinal study of cognitive function in idiopathic REM sleep behavior disorder[J]. Sleep, 2011, 34(5):619-625.
[32] BOOT B P, BOEVE B F, ROBERTS R O, et al. Probable rapid eye movement sleep behavior disorder increases risk for mild cognitive impairment and Parkinson disease: A population-based study[J]. Ann Neurol, 2012, 71(1):49-56.
[33] KAUFMANN H, NORCLIFFE-KAUFMANN L, PALMA J A, et al. Natural history of pure autonomic failure: A United States prospective cohort[J]. Ann Neurol, 2017, 81(2):287-297.
[34] SINGER W, BERINI S E, SANDRONI P, et al. Pure autonomic failure: Predictors of conversion to clinical CNS involvement[J]. Neurology, 2017, 88(12):1129-1136.
[35] JECMENICA-LUKIC M, PETROVIC I N, PEKMEZOVIC T, et al. Clinical outcomes of two main variants of progressive supranuclear palsy and multiple system atrophy: A prospective natural history study[J]. J Neurol, 2014, 261(8):1575-1583.
[37] SAVICA R, TURCANO P, BOWER J H, et al. Survival and progression in synucleinopathy phenotypes with Parkinsonism: A population-based study[J]. Mayo Clin Proc, 2019, 94(9):1825-1831.
[38] PAPAPETROPOULOS S, TUCHMAN A, LAUFER D, et al. Causes of death in multiple system atrophy[J]. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry, 2007, 78(3):327-329.
[39] FIGUEROA J J, SINGER W, PARSAIK A, et al. Multiple system atrophy: Prognostic indicators of survival[J]. Mov Disord, 2014, 29(9):1151-1157.
[40] SEKIYA H, KOGA S, OTSUKA Y, et al. Clinical and pathological characteristics of later onset multiple system atrophy[J]. J Neurol, 2022, 269(8):4310-4321.
[41] KLOCKGETHER T, LüDTKE R, KRAMER B, et al. The natural history of degenerative Ataxia: A retrospective study in 466 patients[J]. Brain, 1998, 121(Pt 4):589-600.
[42] SCHULZ J B, KLOCKGETHER T, PETERSEN D, et al. Multiple system atrophy: Natural history, MRI morphology, and dopamine receptor imaging with 123IBZM-SPECT[J]. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry, 1994, 57(9):1047-1056.
[43] VICHAYANRAT E, VALERIO F, KOAY S, et al. Diagnosing premotor multiple system atrophy: Natural history and autonomic testing in an autopsy-confirmed cohort[J/OL]. Neurology, 2022, 99(11):e1168-e1177[2025-12-02]. .
[44] GIANNINI G, BALDELLI L, PROVINI F, et al. Early onset sleep disorders predict severity, progression and death in multiple system atrophy[J/OL]. J Neurol, 2025, 272(3):239[2025-12-02]. .
[45] GIANNINI G, CALANDRA-BUONAURA G, MASTROLILLI F, et al. Early stridor onset and stridor treatment predict survival in 136 patients with MSA[J]. Neurology, 2016, 87(13):1375-1383.
[46] GIANNINI G, MASTRANGELO V, PROVINI F, et al. Progression and prognosis in multiple system atrophy presenting with REM behavior disorder[J/OL]. Neurology, 2020, 94(17):e1828-e1834[2025-12-02]. .
[47] CALANDRA-BUONAURA G, ALFONSI E, VIGNATELLI L, et al. Dysphagia in multiple system atrophy consensus statement on diagnosis, prognosis and treatment[J]. Parkinsonism Relat Disord, 2021, 86:124-132.
[48] MüLLER J, WENNING G K, VERNY M, et al. Progression of dysarthria and dysphagia in postmortem-confirmed Parkinsonian disorders[J]. Arch Neurol, 2001, 58(2):259-264.
[49] BADIHIAN N, SAVICA R, ADLER C H, et al. Clinical characteristics and outcomes in young-onset multiple system atrophy[J]. Mov Disord Clin Pract, 2024, 11(3):220-226.
[50] KIM H J, JEON B. Young-onset multiple system atrophy: Its rarity and heterogeneity[J]. Mov Disord, 2019, 34(7):1085-1086.
[51] BATLA A, DE PABLO-FERNANDEZ E, ERRO R, et al. Young-onset multiple system atrophy: Clinical and pathological features[J]. Mov Disord, 2018, 33(7):1099-1107.
[52] GILMAN S, WENNING G K, LOW P A, et al. Second consensus statement on the diagnosis of multiple system atrophy[J]. Neurology, 2008, 71(9):670-676.
[53] LEE Y H, ANDO T, LEE J J, et al. Later-onset multiple system atrophy: A multicenter Asian study[J]. Mov Disord, 2020, 35(9):1692-1693.
[54] MA Y, FARRIS C M, WEBER S, et al. Sensitivity and specificity of a seed amplification assay for diagnosis of multiple system atrophy: A multicentre cohort study[J]. Lancet Neurol, 2024, 23(12):1225-1237.
[55] LIU M, WANG Z, SHANG H. Multiple system atrophy: An update and emerging directions of biomarkers and clinical trials[J]. J Neurol, 2024, 271(5):2324-2344.
[56] WANG Z, BECKER K, DONADIO V, et al. Skin α-synuclein aggregation seeding activity as a novel biomarker for Parkinson disease[J]. JAMA Neurol, 2020, 78(1):1-11.
[57] KIM J Y, ILLIGENS B M, MCCORMICK M P, et al. Alpha-synuclein in skin nerve fibers as a biomarker for alpha-synucleinopathies[J]. J Clin Neurol, 2019, 15(2):135-142.
[58] MARTINEZ-VALBUENA I, VISANJI N P, OLSZEWSKA D A, et al. Combining skin α-synuclein real-time quaking-induced conversion and circulating neurofilament light chain to distinguish multiple system atrophy and Parkinson's disease[J]. Mov Disord, 2022, 37(3):648-650.
[59] DOYLE L, WANG M. Overview of extracellular vesicles, their origin, composition, purpose, and methods for exosome isolation and analysis[J/OL]. Cells, 2019, 8(7):727[2025-12-02]. .
[60] YU Z, SHI M, STEWART T, et al. Reduced oligodendrocyte exosome secretion in multiple system atrophy involves SNARE dysfunction[J]. Brain, 2020, 143(6):1780-1797.
[61] DUTTA S, HORNUNG S, KRUAYATIDEE A, et al. α-Synuclein in blood exosomes immunoprecipitated using neuronal and oligodendroglial markers distinguishes Parkinson's disease from multiple system atrophy[J]. Acta Neuropathol, 2021, 142(3):495-511.
[62] JIN N, LI J, CHEN X, et al. Correlation of MRI markers with clinical features in multiple system atrophy[J/OL]. AJNR Am JNeuroradiol, 2025:ajnr.A9078[2025-12-02]. .
[63] BOUGEA A. Advances in biomarkers in multiple system atrophy[J]. Expert Rev Mol Diagn, 2025, 25(5):151-155.
[64] ARRIBARAT G, DE BARROS A, PéRAN P. Modern brainstem MRI techniques for the diagnosis of Parkinson's disease and parkinsonisms[J/OL]. Front Neurol, 2020, 11:791[2025-12-02]. .
[65] PéRAN P, BARBAGALLO G, NEMMI F, et al. MRI supervised and unsupervised classification of Parkinson's disease and multiple system atrophy[J]. Mov Disord, 2018, 33(4):600-608.
[66] YANG H, WANG X, LIAO W, et al. Application of diffusion tensor imaging in multiple system atrophy: The involvement of pontine transverse and longitudinal fibers[J]. Int J Neurosci, 2015, 125(1):18-24.
[67] GOOLLA M, CHESHIRE W P, ROSS O A, et al. Diagnosing multiple system atrophy: Current clinical guidance and emerging molecular biomarkers[J/OL]. Front Neurol, 2023, 14:1210220[2025-12-02]. .
[68] GASNIER B, ROISIN M P, SCHERMAN D, et al. Uptake of meta-iodobenzylguanidine by bovine chromaffin granule membranes[J]. Mol Pharmacol, 1986, 29(3):275-280.
[69] KING A E, MINTZ J, ROYALL D R. Meta-analysis of 123I-MIBG cardiac scintigraphy for the diagnosis of Lewy body-related disorders[J]. Mov Disord, 2011, 26(7):1218-1224.
[70] ORIMO S, KANAZAWA T, NAKAMURA A, et al. Degeneration of cardiac sympathetic nerve can occur in multiple system atrophy[J]. Acta Neuropathol, 2007, 113(1):81-86.
[71] RASCOL O, SCHELOSKY L. 123I-metaiodobenzylguanidine scintigraphy in Parkinson's disease and related disorders[J]. Mov Disord, 2009, 24():S732-S741.
[72] BASCHIERI F, CALANDRA-BUONAURA G, CECERE A, et al. Iodine-123-meta-iodobenzylguanidine myocardial scintigraphy in isolated autonomic failure: Potential red flag for future multiple system atrophy[J/OL]. Front Neurol, 2017,8:225[2025-12-02]. .
[73] GIAGKOU N, BHATIA K P, H?GLINGER G U, et al. Genetic mimics of the non-genetic atypical parkinsonian disorders-the 'atypica' atypical[M/OL]//International Review of Neurobiology: v149. Amsterdam: Elsevier, 2019:327-351 [2025-12-02]. .
[74] BOUGEA A. Genetics of multiple system atrophy and progressive supranuclear palsy: A systemized review of the literature[J/OL]. Int J Mol Sci, 2023, 24(6):5281[2025-12-02]. .
[75] GU X, CHEN Y, ZHOU Q, et al. Analysis of GWAS-linked variants in multiple system atrophy[J/OL]. Neurobiol Aging, 2018, 67:201.e1-201.e4[2025-12-02]. .
[76] SAILER A, SCHOLZ S W, NALLS M A, et al. A genome-wide association study in multiple system atrophy[J]. Neurology, 2016, 87(15):1591-1598.
[77] VEMURI P, CASTILLO A M, THOSTENSON K B, et al. Imaging biomarkers for early multiple system atrophy[J]. Parkinsonism Relat Disord, 2022, 103:60-68.
[78] DOU X, WANG J, HU D, et al. Molecular imaging based spatiotemporal dynamics progression of brain glucose metabolism in multiple system atrophy[J]. Eur J Nucl Med Mol Imaging, 2026, 53(2):1198-1210.

Funding

General Program of National Natural Science Foundation of China(82471435);“Leading Bird” R&D Key Project of Zhejiang Province(2024C03100)
PDF(1331 KB)

Accesses

Citation

Detail

Sections
Recommended

/